tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1007653226072269775.post7305206838450946220..comments2023-11-04T23:22:41.219-07:00Comments on Kobe, Tell Me How My Stats Taste: The Detroit Lions?Austin Linkhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03587106762725880799noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1007653226072269775.post-48280850469105361072010-11-11T16:27:35.096-08:002010-11-11T16:27:35.096-08:00They have had extraordinarily bad luck. You would...They have had extraordinarily bad luck. You would expect however, that over any given interval they should have mediocre luck. By going from bad to mediocre, their luck is expected to improve. So while it's true that past luck has no impact on the future, you can still expect their luck to get closer to average.Austin Linkhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03587106762725880799noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1007653226072269775.post-49176861186234468352010-11-11T16:20:07.824-08:002010-11-11T16:20:07.824-08:00I think you committed the gambler's fallacy in...I think you committed the gambler's fallacy in this post when you assumed that they will start having better luck. Games are identically and independently distributed, meaning that their past luck has no impact on their future luck. It is just equally likely that their luck will stay bad.Andyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07222499287156188758noreply@blogger.com