Wednesday, January 12, 2011

College Football Top 25 1/12/11

It's done, the college football season is over. Auburn has deservedly been crowned the champion, they had the most successful season. But were they really the best team? Here's the (final!) top 25:
Rank Team W L Rating SOS
1 Stanford 12 1 698.05 81.39
2 Boise St 12 1 508.5 32.57
3 Oregon 12 1 502.72 65.71
4 Alabama 10 3 424.76 58.41
5 TCU 13 0 412.31 27.65
6 Ohio State 12 1 355.73 38.97
7 Auburn 14 0 301.63 77.89
8 Oklahoma 12 2 256.26 67.97
9 Oklahoma St 11 2 228.26 50.36
10 Arkansas 10 3 216.93 64.83
11 Missouri 10 3 205.73 51.61
12 Florida St 10 4 191.02 62.13
13 Virginia Tech 11 3 188.91 55.09
14 LSU 11 2 187.6 66.13
15 South Carolina 9 5 166.64 79.45
16 Wisconsin 11 2 165.59 36.32
17 Nebraska 10 4 165.05 48.58
18 Texas A&M 9 4 158.54 68.72
19 Arizona St 6 6 147.93 78.55
20 Iowa 8 5 140.17 42.58
21 Florida 8 5 139.14 67.7
22 Arizona 7 6 137.38 80
23 Nevada 13 1 134.05 25.82
24 Southern Cal 8 5 131.54 91.19
25 Notre Dame 8 5 124.99 65.45

Stanford is still at number 1! Yup, it was true in the very first ranking, and it still is. In a special year for the Cardinal they were the best team in the nation, even if an unfortunate loss to Oregon derailed their title hopes. It's easy be skeptical (some might find some supposed bias up top, I swear there isn't any) but the results speak for themselves. The rankings system got 23 of 35 bowl games right (22.5 was predicted) and had 442 (437 expected) points on ESPN bowl mania (good for the 98th percentile).
The Bowl's are nice and all, but over Thanksgiving I proposed a playoff system, which if it had played out would've given us a very different result:

Seed Team Win%
1 Auburn 14.8
2 Oregon 29.3
3 TCU 11.4
4 Stanford 34.3
5 Wisconsin 1.8
6 Ohio State 8.4

Auburn would still have a chance of winning, but the most likely champion would be: The Stanford Cardinal! Okay, so you don't believe me, but it sure would be interesting to find out. Maybe next year (Mark Cuban). For now, all we can do is congratulate Auburn for over coming the odds and winning the National Championship.
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