Wednesday, June 8, 2011

2011 NBA Finals Odds-Update!

Through game 4, these are the likelihoods of the remaining outcomes:

Miami in 6: 31.5%
Miami in 7: 34.0%
Dallas in 6: 17.6%
Dallas in 7: 16.9%

It sure seems like the Mavericks have made quite a statement already taking two games from the presumptive favorites. The truth is though, 2-2 was the most likely outcome at this point in the series. Dallas's odds are better now, but not by much: Miami is still expected to win 65.5% of the time. Some significant work has been done, but the big game happens tomorrow as over half the series swings on game 5.
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