Tuesday, June 15, 2010

College Football Winners and Losers

Because the Celtics are getting their butts thoroughly kicked, it seems like a good time to discuss the new conference realignments in the NCAA (and really, just in football).
For those of you don't remember much about last season, here's an excerpt of my final rankings:
Pac-10
9 Oregon 10 3 365.1351385
21 Stanford 8 5 206.7906192
24 Southern Cal 9 4 196.9013724
31 Oregon St 8 5 144.8142221
33 Arizona 8 5 136.8915592
44 Washington 5 7 112.9405358
47 UCLA 7 6 99.71857331
48 California 8 5 98.35135469
57 Arizona St 4 8 80.31118691
153 Washington St 1 11 7.85820361
Big 12
3 Texas 13 1 741.1500129
6 Oklahoma 8 5 435.2079459
14 Texas Tech 9 4 265.2266125
32 Oklahoma St 9 4 142.6887075
45 Missouri 8 5 103.9479536
49 Kansas 5 7 96.83809863
50 Texas A&M 6 7 94.68885479
61 Kansas St 6 6 66.69280004
69 Iowa St 7 6 51.93482029
81 Baylor 4 8 42.94916289
Big 10
7 Ohio State 11 2 419.4915248
11 Penn State 11 2 307.9650998
22 Iowa 11 2 202.6684293
28 Wisconsin 10 3 161.9426895
43 Michigan St 6 7 113.215311
62 Purdue 5 7 65.91140341
63 Minnesota 6 7 63.99163737
65 Michigan 5 7 62.57196326
70 Northwestern 8 5 51.5339931
82 Illinois 3 9 42.44594732
89 Indiana 4 8 35.27651734
Switching
8 Nebraska 10 4 379.605562
10 Boise St 14 0 309.586632
75 Colorado 3 9 49.11184134
Best MWC
5 TCU 12 1 541.2771632
26 Brigham Young 11 2 165.9322645
40 Utah 10 3 119.3573139
The (former) Big 12 has an average power ranking of about 133, and that stays the same with the subtraction of good Nebraska and Bad Colorado.
The (12-team) Big 10 has an average ranking of about 100, but by adding Nebraska, which will immediately compete for best team in the conference, their average improves to 107.
The (Mountain) Pac-10 has an average ranking of 107, but with the addition of a terrible Colorado team (worse than all but lowly Washington State), that ranking drops to 100.
Colorado and Nebraska are both in a way losers, because each leaves a better conference for a worse one.
There is a clear winner from the switching though, and that's the newfangled Mountain West Conference which now puts together a top 4 group of teams that can compete with any conference's top 4 year in and year out.
The biggest loser of all though is of course the Boston Celtics. Fingers crossed for game 7.
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